collections_bookmark Part of Modern Horizons 3
Reef Worm card art
Live Play Data

Reef Worm

{3} {U} · Creature — Worm · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
125
Decks Running
75
Median Cast Turn
5.0
Drawn → Played
81%
Format

First-cast turn

n=26
0%
T1
0%
T2
8%
T3
27%
T4
23%
T5
42%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 9
On curve 35% (7 / 26 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

125 brought · 72 players
Brought to game
125
Ever drawn
32
Reached battlefield
26
Still on board at game end
7

Once cast, 27% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.2pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=23) , vs 17% when it never left the library (n=74).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.2pp; 95% confidence interval -6.2pp to +32.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

38 instances
18.4%
Battlefield
47.4%
Graveyard
13.2%
Exile
21.1%
Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Reef Worm card

Reef Worm

{3} {U}
Creature — Worm
When this creature dies, create a 3/3 blue Fish creature token with "When this token dies, create a 6/6 blue Whale creature token with 'When this token dies, create a 9/9 blue Kraken creature token.'"
0 / 1
Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Dan Murayama Scott

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.