Live Play Data

Sedgemoor Witch

· Creature — Human Warlock · Strixhaven: School of Mages (STX)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

506

Decks Running

264

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

66%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=82

11%

15%

17%

10%

35%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 27% (12 / 82 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

506 brought · 243 players

Brought to game

506

Ever drawn

124

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 63% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -14.8pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=73) , vs 32% when it never left the library (n=321).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=37).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -3.8pp; 95% confidence interval -14.8pp to +7.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

135 instances

2.2%

Library

38.5%

Battlefield

31.1%

Graveyard

4.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Witherbloom, the Balancer 67 decks
2 Silverquill, the Disputant 40 decks
3 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 24 decks
4 Blech, Loafing Pest 14 decks
5 Fire Lord Azula 12 decks
6 Dina, Soul Steeper 9 decks
7 Extus, Oriq Overlord // Awaken the Blood Avatar 8 decks
8 Lord of the Nazgûl 7 decks
9 Magar of the Magic Strings 5 decks
10 Tergrid, God of Fright // Tergrid's Lantern 4 decks

Card text

Sedgemoor Witch

Creature — Human Warlock

Menace Ward—Pay 3 life. (Whenever this creature becomes the target of a spell or ability an opponent controls, counter it unless that player pays 3 life.) Magecraft — Whenever you cast or copy an instant or sorcery spell, create a 1/1 black and green Pest creature token with "When this token dies, you gain 1 life."

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Strixhaven: School of Mages (STX) · Rare · Illustrated by Igor Kieryluk

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.