Skittering Cicada
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Skittering Cicada
Final zone distribution
104 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games- 1 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 119 decks
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2
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
46 decks
- 3 Omnath, Locus of the Void 21 decks
- 4 Molecule Man 17 decks
- 5 Ultima, Origin of Oblivion 13 decks
- 6 Kozilek, the Great Distortion 6 decks
- 7 The Walls of Ba Sing Se 5 decks
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8
Kadena, Slinking Sorcerer
4 decks
- 9 Ulamog, the Defiler 4 decks
- 10 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 4 decks
The "good card" funnel
493 brought · 260 playersOnce cast, 65% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=47) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=257).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=24).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.3pp; 95% confidence interval -7.3pp to +7.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.