Live Play Data

Spectacular Showdown

· Sorcery · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

516

Decks Running

252

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

64%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=69

14%

65%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 14

Cast same turn as drawn 21%

The "good card" funnel

516 brought · 244 players

Brought to game

516

Ever drawn

108

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -7.6pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=68) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=358).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=34).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.9pp; 95% confidence interval -7.6pp to +15.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

119 instances

4.2%

Library

7.6%

Battlefield

57.1%

Graveyard

4.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 27 decks
2 Kratos, God of War 23 decks
3 Firkraag, Cunning Instigator 21 decks
4 Alexios, Deimos of Kosmos 14 decks
5 Baeloth Barrityl, Entertainer 12 decks
6 Vincent, Vengeful Atoner 11 decks
7 Me, the Immortal 8 decks
8 Owen Grady, Raptor Trainer 8 decks
9 Queen Marchesa 8 decks
10 Kardur, Doomscourge 7 decks

Card text

Spectacular Showdown

Sorcery

Put a double strike counter on target creature, then goad each creature that had a double strike counter put on it this way. (Until your next turn, those creatures attack each combat if able and attack a player other than you if able.) Overload {4}

(You may cast this spell for its overload cost. If you do, change "target" in its text to "each.")

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Aniekan Udofia

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.