Sword of Hearth and Home
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sword of Hearth and Home
Final zone distribution
219 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Cloud, Midgar Mercenary
26 decks
-
2
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
18 decks
-
3
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
16 decks
-
4
Deadpool, Trading Card
15 decks
-
5
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
12 decks
-
6
Captain America, First Avenger
11 decks
-
7
Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines
11 decks
-
8
Noctis, Heir Apparent
11 decks
-
9
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
11 decks
-
10
Giada, Font of Hope
10 decks
The "good card" funnel
1002 brought · 426 playersOnce cast, 82% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=118) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=565).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=44).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +9.3pp; 95% confidence interval +4.7pp to +13.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.