Live Play Data

The Elder Dragon War

· Enchantment — Saga · Dominaria United (DMU)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

203

Decks Running

134

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

80%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=35

11%

60%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 12

On curve 11% (3 / 35 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

203 brought · 128 players

Brought to game

203

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 29% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.7pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=30) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=130).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.1pp; 95% confidence interval -5.7pp to +26.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

49 instances

20.4%

Battlefield

55.1%

Graveyard

8.2%

Exile

16.3%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 91 decks
2 Tom Bombadil 30 decks
3 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 1 decks
4 Bilbo, Retired Burglar 1 decks
5 Chong and Lily, Nomads 1 decks
6 Drakuseth, Maw of Flames 1 decks
7 Fíli and Kíli, Joyous 1 decks
8 Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm 1 decks
9 Nogi, Draco-Zealot 1 decks
10 Rohgahh, Kher Keep Overlord 1 decks

Card text

The Elder Dragon War

Enchantment — Saga

Read ahead (Choose a chapter and start with that many lore counters. Add one after your draw step. Skipped chapters don't trigger. Sacrifice after III.) I — This Saga deals 2 damage to each creature and each opponent. II — Discard any number of cards, then draw that many cards. III — Create a 4/4 red Dragon creature token with flying.

Dominaria United (DMU) · Rare · Illustrated by Filip Burburan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.