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collections_bookmark Part of Dominaria United format_list_numbered #28 red board wipe
The Elder Dragon War card art
Live Play Data

The Elder Dragon War

{2} {R} {R} · Enchantment — Saga · Dominaria United (DMU)
1%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
401
Decks Running
237
Median Cast Turn
6.0
Drawn → Played
76%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=62
0%
T1
2%
T2
0%
T3
13%
T4
16%
T5
55%
T6-9
15%
T10+
Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12
On curve 15% (8 / 62 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 20%

The "good card" funnel

401 brought · 224 players
Brought to game
401
Ever drawn
82
Reached battlefield
62
Still on board at game end
18

Once cast, 29% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.9pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=54) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=270).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.4pp; 95% confidence interval -2.9pp to +21.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

91 instances
19.8%
Battlefield
51.6%
Graveyard
8.8%
Exile
19.8%
Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
The Elder Dragon War card

The Elder Dragon War

{2} {R} {R}
Enchantment — Saga
Read ahead (Choose a chapter and start with that many lore counters. Add one after your draw step. Skipped chapters don't trigger. Sacrifice after III.) I — This Saga deals 2 damage to each creature and each opponent. II — Discard any number of cards, then draw that many cards. III — Create a 4/4 red Dragon creature token with flying.
Dominaria United (DMU) · Rare · Illustrated by Filip Burburan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.