bolt Game Changer on the MTG Commander Game Changers list collections_bookmark Part of Tales of Middle-earth
The One Ring card art
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The One Ring

{4} · Legendary Artifact · The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)
6%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
1176
Decks Running
601
In Decks
4470
Decklist Inclusion
6%
Format

Final zone distribution

322 instances
4.7%
Library
50.9%
Battlefield
15.8%
Graveyard
9.0%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

1177 brought · 361 players
Brought to game
1177
Ever drawn
286
Reached battlefield
207
Still on board at game end
164

Once cast, 79% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.1pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=201) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=806).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=74) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +6.5pp; 95% confidence interval -0.1pp to +13.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=207
2%
T1
3%
T2
6%
T3
17%
T4
15%
T5
47%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 17
On curve 28% (35 / 207 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 44%
929 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.