Live Play Data

The Wise Mothman

· Legendary Creature — Insect Mutant · Secret Lair Drop (SLD)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

138

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

74%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=423

21%

38%

16%

20%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 3 · P75 5 · max 11

On curve 64% (162 / 423 cast on T4)

The "good card" funnel

138 brought · 62 players

Brought to game

138

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -11.9pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=22) , vs 17% when it never left the library (n=84).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.8pp; 95% confidence interval -11.9pp to +23.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

38 instances

13.2%

Library

28.9%

Battlefield

34.2%

Graveyard

21.1%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

The Wise Mothman

Legendary Creature — Insect Mutant

Flying Whenever The Wise Mothman enters or attacks, each player gets a rad counter. Whenever one or more nonland cards are milled, put a +1/+1 counter on each of up to X target creatures, where X is the number of nonland cards milled this way.

3 / 3

Secret Lair Drop (SLD) · Mythic · Illustrated by Chris Seaman

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.