Card Preview

The Wise Mothman

· Legendary Creature — Insect Mutant · Secret Lair Drop (SLD)

Decklist Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

252

Decks Running

126

In Decks

841

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

The Wise Mothman

Legendary Creature — Insect Mutant

Flying Whenever The Wise Mothman enters or attacks, each player gets a rad counter. Whenever one or more nonland cards are milled, put a +1/+1 counter on each of up to X target creatures, where X is the number of nonland cards milled this way.

3 / 3

Secret Lair Drop (SLD) · Mythic · Illustrated by Chris Seaman

Final zone distribution

215 instances

1.4%

Library

48.8%

Battlefield

7.0%

Graveyard

2.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

252 brought · 115 players

Brought to game

252

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

105

Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -15.4pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=30) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=99).

Observed gap +0.3pp; 95% confidence interval -15.4pp to +16.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=31

13%

71%

T6-9

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 11

On curve 10% (2 / 31 cast on T4)

31 of 100 times cast 31%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.