Live Play Data

There and Back Again

· Enchantment — Saga · The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

744

Decks Running

359

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=98

13%

61%

T6-9

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 31% (13 / 98 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

The "good card" funnel

745 brought · 315 players

Brought to game

745

Ever drawn

165

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 44% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.2pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=90) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=474).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 17% (n=60).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.1pp; 95% confidence interval -2.2pp to +16.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

188 instances

3.2%

Library

22.9%

Battlefield

41.5%

Graveyard

4.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Tom Bombadil 70 decks
2 Smaug the Magnificent 40 decks
3 Thorin, King of Durin's Folk 34 decks
4 Smaug the Impenetrable 29 decks
5 Sauron, the Dark Lord 26 decks
6 Terra, Magical Adept // Esper Terra 10 decks
7 Knuckles the Echidna 8 decks
8 Jaws, Relentless Predator 7 decks
9 Vihaan, Goldwaker 7 decks
10 Smaug, Wicked Worm 6 decks

Card text

There and Back Again

Enchantment — Saga

(As this Saga enters and after your draw step, add a lore counter. Sacrifice after III.) I — Up to one target creature can't block for as long as you control this Saga. The Ring tempts you. II — Search your library for a Mountain card, put it onto the battlefield, then shuffle. III — Create Smaug, a legendary 6/6 red Dragon creature token with flying, haste, and "When Smaug dies, create fourteen Treasure tokens."

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR) · Rare · Illustrated by Jarel Threat

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.