Live Play Data

Thief of Sanity

· Creature — Specter · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

254

Decks Running

149

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=45

13%

11%

16%

13%

42%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 12

On curve 24% (5 / 45 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

254 brought · 142 players

Brought to game

254

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 33% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -13.5pp

Players who cast this card win 14% of the time (n=40) , vs 16% when it never left the library (n=151).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 8% (n=18).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -13.5pp to +9.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

73 instances

5.5%

Library

20.5%

Battlefield

39.7%

Graveyard

13.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Thief of Sanity

Creature — Specter

Flying Whenever this creature deals combat damage to a player, look at the top three cards of that player's library, exile one of them face down, then put the rest into their graveyard. You may cast that card for as long as it remains exiled, and mana of any type can be spent to cast that spell.

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Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Igor Kieryluk

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.