Live Play Data

Thieving Varmint

· Creature — Varmint · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

170

Decks Running

102

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

75%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=27

26%

19%

15%

26%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 26% (7 / 27 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

170 brought · 96 players

Brought to game

170

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 26% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -16.7pp

Players who cast this card win 11% of the time (n=25) , vs 14% when it never left the library (n=114).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -3.4pp; 95% confidence interval -16.7pp to +9.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

40 instances

17.5%

Battlefield

57.5%

Graveyard

5.0%

Exile

20.0%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gonti, Canny Acquisitor 32 decks
2 Tinybones, Bauble Burglar 12 decks
3 Nathan Drake, Treasure Hunter 10 decks
4 Gonti, Night Minister 6 decks
5 Sen Triplets 6 decks
6 Laughing Jasper Flint 5 decks
7 Rev, Tithe Extractor 5 decks
8 Tasha, the Witch Queen 5 decks
9 Locke, Treasure Hunter 4 decks
10 Azula, Cunning Usurper 2 decks

Card text

Thieving Varmint

Creature — Varmint

Deathtouch, lifelink {T}

, Pay 1 life: Add two mana of any one color. Spend this mana only to cast spells you don't own.

2 / 1

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Néstor Ossandón Leal

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.