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Thieving Varmint card art
Live Play Data

Thieving Varmint

{1} {B} · Creature — Varmint · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)
1%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
274
Decks Running
155
Median Cast Turn
5
Drawn → Played
70%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=45
4%
T1
22%
T2
7%
T3
11%
T4
16%
T5
31%
T6-9
9%
T10+
Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 14
On curve 27% (10 / 45 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

274 brought · 147 players
Brought to game
274
Ever drawn
64
Reached battlefield
45
Still on board at game end
16

Once cast, 36% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -13.4pp

Players who cast this card win 9% of the time (n=42) , vs 13% when it never left the library (n=180).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 13% (n=18).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -3.8pp; 95% confidence interval -13.4pp to +5.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

71 instances
2.8%
Library
22.5%
Battlefield
52.1%
Graveyard
4.2%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Thieving Varmint card

Thieving Varmint

{1} {B}
Creature — Varmint
Deathtouch, lifelink {T}, Pay 1 life: Add two mana of any one color. Spend this mana only to cast spells you don't own.
2 / 1
Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Néstor Ossandón Leal

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.