Live Play Data

Thraben Charm

· Instant · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

186

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

51%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=22

68%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 10

On curve 0% (0 / 22 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

186 brought · 77 players

Brought to game

186

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -16.2pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=22) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=127).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=18).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.1pp; 95% confidence interval -16.2pp to +26.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

48 instances

4.2%

Battlefield

54.2%

Graveyard

6.3%

Exile

35.4%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ms. Bumbleflower 7 decks
2 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 5 decks
3 Giada, Font of Hope 4 decks
4 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 3 decks
5 Kaalia of the Vast 2 decks
6 Minthara, Merciless Soul 2 decks
7 Phelia, Exuberant Shepherd 2 decks
8 Polukranos Reborn // Polukranos, Engine of Ruin 2 decks
9 Sokrates, Athenian Teacher 2 decks
10 The Jolly Balloon Man 2 decks

Card text

Thraben Charm

Instant

Choose one — • Thraben Charm deals damage equal to twice the number of creatures you control to target creature. • Destroy target enchantment. • Exile any number of target players' graveyards.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Common · Illustrated by Carlos Palma Cruchaga

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.