Live Play Data

Thrilling Discovery

· Sorcery · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

159

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=36

14%

22%

36%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 17% (5 / 36 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 42%

The "good card" funnel

159 brought · 77 players

Brought to game

159

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -13.3pp

Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=36) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=91).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -13.3pp to +17.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

58 instances

10.3%

Library

65.5%

Graveyard

10.3%

Exile

13.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 General Ferrous Rokiric 12 decks
2 Yuma, Proud Protector 12 decks
3 Quintorius, History Chaser 7 decks
4 Firesong and Sunspeaker 5 decks
5 Aragorn, the Uniter 4 decks
6 Joshua, Phoenix's Dominant // Phoenix, Warden of Fire 4 decks
7 Altaïr Ibn-La'Ahad 2 decks
8 Bre of Clan Stoutarm 2 decks
9 Kaalia of the Vast 2 decks
10 Adriana, Captain of the Guard 1 decks

Card text

Thrilling Discovery

Sorcery

You gain 2 life. Then you may discard two cards. If you do, draw three cards.

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Common · Illustrated by Campbell White

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.