Tundra
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Tundra
Final zone distribution
558 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
73 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
39 decks
-
3
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
19 decks
-
4
Tymna the Weaver
19 decks
-
5
The First Sliver
18 decks
-
6
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
16 decks
-
7
Marneus Calgar
15 decks
-
8
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
14 decks
-
9
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
13 decks
-
10
Kraum, Ludevic's Opus
13 decks
The "good card" funnel
1600 brought · 585 playersOnce cast, 95% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=379) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=789).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=29).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.5pp; 95% confidence interval +0.5pp to +6.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.