Live Play Data

Vow of Lightning

· Enchantment — Aura · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

132

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

83%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=25

16%

24%

40%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 4% (1 / 25 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 46%

The "good card" funnel

132 brought · 73 players

Brought to game

132

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -15.3pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=23) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=89).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.8pp; 95% confidence interval -15.3pp to +22.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

31 instances

6.5%

Library

38.7%

Battlefield

41.9%

Graveyard

3.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kaalia of the Vast 17 decks
2 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 14 decks
3 Xantcha, Sleeper Agent 7 decks
4 Karona, False God 5 decks
5 Khârn the Betrayer 5 decks
6 Kynaios and Tiro of Meletis 2 decks
7 Ardenn, Intrepid Archaeologist 1 decks
8 Blim, Comedic Genius 1 decks
9 Dong Zhou, the Tyrant 1 decks
10 Elsha, Threefold Master 1 decks

Card text

Vow of Lightning

Enchantment — Aura

Enchant creature Enchanted creature gets +2/+2, has first strike, and can't attack you or planeswalkers you control.

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Randy Vargas

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.