Live Play Data

Wake the Dragon

· Sorcery · Tales of Middle-earth Commander (LTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

313

Decks Running

146

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

68%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=52

12%

19%

46%

T6-9

19%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 46% (6 / 52 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

313 brought · 132 players

Brought to game

313

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -3.8pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=45) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=181).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=23).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.8pp; 95% confidence interval -3.8pp to +23.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

95 instances

3.2%

Battlefield

68.4%

Graveyard

11.6%

Exile

16.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Wake the Dragon

Sorcery

Create a 6/6 black and red Dragon creature token with flying, menace, and "Whenever this token deals combat damage to a player, gain control of target artifact that player controls." Flashback {6}

(You may cast this card from your graveyard for its flashback cost. Then exile it.)

Tales of Middle-earth Commander (LTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Henry Peters

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.