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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
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Land
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Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)
3%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
686
Decks Running
413
In Decks
3051
Decklist Inclusion
3%
Format
Final zone distribution
181 instances3.3%
Library
64.6%
Battlefield
16.6%
Graveyard
2.8%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Felothar the Steadfast
45 decks
-
2
Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit
28 decks
-
3
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
16 decks
-
4
Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser
14 decks
-
5
Fynn, the Fangbearer
13 decks
-
6
Gonti, Canny Acquisitor
12 decks
-
7
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
12 decks
-
8
Magar of the Magic Strings
11 decks
-
9
Shroofus Sproutsire
11 decks
-
10
Brago, King Eternal
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
686 brought · 361 playersBrought to game
686
Ever drawn
170
Reached battlefield
126
Still on board at game end
117
Once cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -1.3pp
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=112) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=449).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=41) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +6.5pp; 95% confidence interval -1.3pp to +14.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=126
7%
T1
10%
T2
12%
T3
14%
T4
9%
T5
39%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median
5.0
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
19
Cast same turn as drawn
50%
655 of 300 tracked games
99%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.