Ancient Copper Dragon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Ancient Copper Dragon
Final zone distribution
209 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
104 decks
-
2
Kaalia of the Vast
38 decks
-
3
Mr. House, President and CEO
36 decks
-
4
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
25 decks
-
5
Smaug the Impenetrable
16 decks
-
6
Smaug the Magnificent
16 decks
-
7
Ureni of the Unwritten
15 decks
-
8
Tannuk, Steadfast Second
11 decks
-
9
Smaug, Wicked Worm
8 decks
-
10
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
1057 brought · 379 playersOnce cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=116) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=650).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=49) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +6.6pp; 95% confidence interval +2.0pp to +11.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=138Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.