Arbor Elf
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Arbor Elf
Final zone distribution
164 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
16 decks
-
2
Galadriel, Elven-Queen
15 decks
-
3
Lathril, Blade of the Elves
14 decks
-
4
The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl
12 decks
-
5
Thranduil, the Elvenking
12 decks
-
6
Voja, Jaws of the Conclave
12 decks
-
7
Shroofus Sproutsire
11 decks
-
8
Omnath, Locus of Mana
10 decks
-
9
Witherbloom, the Balancer
9 decks
-
10
High Perfect Morcant
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
706 brought · 332 playersOnce cast, 69% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=100) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=380).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=17).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.0pp; 95% confidence interval -4.5pp to +6.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.