Card Preview
As Foretold
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
149
Decks Running
77
In Decks
753
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Final zone distribution
47 instances4.3%
Library
42.6%
Battlefield
19.1%
Graveyard
12.8%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Obeka, Splitter of Seconds
18 decks
-
2
The Tenth Doctor
12 decks
-
3
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
12 decks
-
4
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
4 decks
-
5
The Fourteenth Doctor
3 decks
-
6
Alela, Artful Provocateur
2 decks
-
7
Gale, Waterdeep Prodigy
2 decks
-
8
Rose Tyler
2 decks
-
9
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
1 decks
-
10
Aminatou, Veil Piercer
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
149 brought · 77 playersBrought to game
149
Ever drawn
43
Reached battlefield
28
Still on board at game end
20
Once cast, 71% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -7.0pp
Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=27) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=96).
Observed gap +12.0pp; 95% confidence interval -7.0pp to +30.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=28
0%
T1
14%
T2
32%
T3
4%
T4
18%
T5
25%
T6-9
7%
T10+
Median
4.5
P25
3
· P75
6
· max
13
On curve
46%
(9 / 28 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
31%
28 of 100 times cast
28%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.