Ashcoat of the Shadow Swarm
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Ashcoat of the Shadow Swarm
Final zone distribution
72 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Marrow-Gnawer
66 decks
-
2
Rat King, Verminister
37 decks
-
3
Karumonix, the Rat King
20 decks
-
4
Vren, the Relentless
20 decks
-
5
Wick, the Whorled Mind
14 decks
-
6
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
1 decks
-
7
Doran, Besieged by Time
1 decks
-
8
Hazel of the Rootbloom
1 decks
-
9
Ingris Stingerquill
1 decks
-
10
Rat King, Pale Piper
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
347 brought · 159 playersOnce cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=45) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=251).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 17% (n=18).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -6.5pp to +9.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.