Assault Formation
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Assault Formation
Final zone distribution
100 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Felothar the Steadfast
74 decks
-
2
Arcades, the Strategist
43 decks
-
3
Doran, Besieged by Time
33 decks
-
4
Betor, Kin to All
14 decks
-
5
Tadeas, Juniper Ascendant
10 decks
-
6
Doran, the Siege Tower
6 decks
-
7
Ikra Shidiqi, the Usurper
4 decks
-
8
The Pride of Hull Clade
4 decks
-
9
Betor, Ancestor's Voice
3 decks
-
10
Fangorn, Tree Shepherd
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
458 brought · 210 playersOnce cast, 83% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=52) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=271).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 18% (n=23).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.2pp; 95% confidence interval -5.2pp to +9.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.