Live Play Data

At Knifepoint

· Enchantment · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

116

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

—

Drawn → Played

78%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=18

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

116 brought · 59 players

Brought to game

116

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +4.6pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=17) , vs 13% when it never left the library (n=78).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +26.8pp; 95% confidence interval +4.6pp to +49.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

27 instances

3.7%

Library

44.4%

Battlefield

29.6%

Graveyard

7.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Laughing Jasper Flint 19 decks
2 Vihaan, Goldwaker 6 decks
3 Marchesa, Dealer of Death 5 decks
4 Altaïr Ibn-La'Ahad 3 decks
5 Deadpool, Trading Card 3 decks
6 Edward Kenway 3 decks
7 Ezio Auditore da Firenze 2 decks
8 Gev, Scaled Scorch 2 decks
9 Olivia, Opulent Outlaw 2 decks
10 Vial Smasher, Gleeful Grenadier 2 decks

Card text

At Knifepoint

Enchantment

During your turn, outlaws you control have first strike. (Assassins, Mercenaries, Pirates, Rogues, and Warlocks are outlaws.) Whenever you commit a crime, create a 1/1 red Mercenary creature token with " {T}

: Target creature you control gets +1/+0 until end of turn. Activate only as a sorcery." This ability triggers only once each turn.

Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Francisco Miyara

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.