Live Play Data

Bear Umbra

· Enchantment — Aura · Neon Dynasty Commander (NEC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

797

Decks Running

386

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=120

13%

17%

57%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 19% (15 / 120 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

797 brought · 350 players

Brought to game

797

Ever drawn

168

Reached battlefield

120

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 58% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +10.3pp

Players who cast this card win 44% of the time (n=104) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=525).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=38).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +19.6pp; 95% confidence interval +10.3pp to +28.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

186 instances

2.2%

Library

37.6%

Battlefield

28.5%

Graveyard

6.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Beorn the Fierce 26 decks
2 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 16 decks
3 Wolverine, Best There Is 16 decks
4 Chishiro, the Shattered Blade 13 decks
5 Uril, the Miststalker 13 decks
6 Ellivere of the Wild Court 11 decks
7 Ayula, Queen Among Bears 10 decks
8 Najeela, the Blade-Blossom 10 decks
9 Tifa Lockhart 9 decks
10 Wildsear, Scouring Maw 9 decks

Card text

Bear Umbra

Enchantment — Aura

Enchant creature Enchanted creature gets +2/+2 and has "Whenever this creature attacks, untap all lands you control." Umbra armor (If enchanted creature would be destroyed, instead remove all damage from it and destroy this Aura.)

Neon Dynasty Commander (NEC) · Rare · Illustrated by Howard Lyon

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.