Card Preview

Bear Umbra

· Enchantment — Aura · Neon Dynasty Commander (NEC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

283

Decks Running

147

In Decks

1429

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

66 instances

42.4%

Battlefield

24.2%

Graveyard

6.1%

Exile

27.3%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Chishiro, the Shattered Blade 10 decks
2 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 6 decks
3 Ellivere of the Wild Court 6 decks
4 Najeela, the Blade-Blossom 5 decks
5 Uril, the Miststalker 5 decks
6 Wildsear, Scouring Maw 5 decks
7 Wilson, Refined Grizzly 5 decks
8 Kotis, the Fangkeeper 4 decks
9 Tovolar, Dire Overlord // Tovolar, the Midnight Scourge 4 decks
10 Tuvasa the Sunlit 4 decks

The "good card" funnel

283 brought · 139 players

Brought to game

283

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 64% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.5pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=39) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=205).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 42% (n=15) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +16.0pp; 95% confidence interval +0.5pp to +31.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=44

18%

14%

55%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 27% (8 / 44 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

44 of 100 times cast 44%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.