Bear Umbra
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Bear Umbra
Final zone distribution
119 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Beorn the Fierce
18 decks
-
2
Chishiro, the Shattered Blade
13 decks
-
3
Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk
12 decks
-
4
Wolverine, Best There Is
12 decks
-
5
Ayula, Queen Among Bears
11 decks
-
6
Ellivere of the Wild Court
10 decks
-
7
Blor the Impervious
9 decks
-
8
Omnath, Locus of Mana
8 decks
-
9
Uril, the Miststalker
7 decks
-
10
Dogmeat, Ever Loyal
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
574 brought · 244 playersOnce cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=62) , vs 30% when it never left the library (n=355).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 14% (n=27).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.1pp; 95% confidence interval -6.6pp to +6.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.