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Bear Umbra

· Enchantment — Aura · Neon Dynasty Commander (NEC)

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Times Brought

368

Decks Running

189

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

84 instances

3.6%

Library

36.9%

Battlefield

21.4%

Graveyard

3.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 10 decks
2 Chishiro, the Shattered Blade 10 decks
3 Ellivere of the Wild Court 9 decks
4 Wolverine, Best There Is 8 decks
5 Ayula, Queen Among Bears 6 decks
6 Beorn the Fierce 6 decks
7 Uril, the Miststalker 6 decks
8 Dogmeat, Ever Loyal 5 decks
9 Kudo, King Among Bears 5 decks
10 Omnath, Locus of Mana 5 decks

The "good card" funnel

368 brought · 173 players

Brought to game

368

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 60% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.6pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=43) , vs 32% when it never left the library (n=228).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 13% (n=18) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -0.9pp; 95% confidence interval -8.6pp to +6.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=52

25%

12%

56%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 27% (13 / 52 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

52 of 100 times cast 52%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.