Birgi, God of Storytelling // Harnfel, Horn of Bounty
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Birgi, God of Storytelling
Harnfel, Horn of Bounty
Final zone distribution
354 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
73 decks
-
2
Flubs, the Fool
38 decks
-
3
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
35 decks
-
4
Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh
26 decks
-
5
Prosper, Tome-Bound
21 decks
-
6
Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy
20 decks
-
7
Fire Lord Azula
19 decks
-
8
Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied
19 decks
-
9
Ob Nixilis, Captive Kingpin
15 decks
-
10
Kratos, Stoic Father
14 decks
The "good card" funnel
1417 brought · 579 playersOnce cast, 79% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=178) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=773).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=82).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.6pp; 95% confidence interval +1.6pp to +9.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.