Birgi, God of Storytelling // Harnfel, Horn of Bounty
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Birgi, God of Storytelling
Harnfel, Horn of Bounty
Final zone distribution
108 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
28 decks
-
2
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
15 decks
-
3
Flubs, the Fool
13 decks
-
4
Ob Nixilis, Captive Kingpin
8 decks
-
5
Prosper, Tome-Bound
8 decks
-
6
Zada, Hedron Grinder
8 decks
-
7
Kratos, Stoic Father
6 decks
-
8
Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied
6 decks
-
9
Fire Lord Azula
5 decks
-
10
Kraum, Ludevic's Opus
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
441 brought · 200 playersOnce cast, 74% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=59) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=275).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=21).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.8pp; 95% confidence interval -5.2pp to +8.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.