Black Market Connections
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
320 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
95 decks
-
2
Edgar Markov
24 decks
-
3
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel
24 decks
-
4
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
24 decks
-
5
Sauron, the Dark Lord
19 decks
-
6
Ezio Auditore da Firenze
17 decks
-
7
Chatterfang, Squirrel General
13 decks
-
8
Edward Kenway
13 decks
-
9
Kaalia of the Vast
11 decks
-
10
Betor, Ancestor's Voice
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
1412 brought · 626 playersOnce cast, 90% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=153) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=843).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=82) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +4.0pp; 95% confidence interval -0.1pp to +8.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=193Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.