Black Market
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Black Market
Final zone distribution
112 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
34 decks
-
2
Captain N'ghathrod
12 decks
-
3
Marrow-Gnawer
12 decks
-
4
Edgar Markov
9 decks
-
5
Toxrill, the Corrosive
8 decks
-
6
Maha, Its Feathers Night
7 decks
-
7
Athreos, God of Passage
5 decks
-
8
Rat King, Verminister
5 decks
-
9
Teysa Karlov
5 decks
-
10
Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
500 brought · 250 playersOnce cast, 83% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=38) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=310).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=46) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +5.1pp; 95% confidence interval -3.3pp to +13.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=47Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.