Black Market
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Black Market
Final zone distribution
294 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
67 decks
-
2
Captain N'ghathrod
37 decks
-
3
Edgar Markov
28 decks
-
4
Marrow-Gnawer
25 decks
-
5
Toxrill, the Corrosive
23 decks
-
6
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel
17 decks
-
7
Avacyn, Angel of Horror
14 decks
-
8
Maha, Its Feathers Night
13 decks
-
9
Teysa Karlov
13 decks
-
10
Athreos, God of Passage
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1354 brought · 575 playersOnce cast, 82% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=118) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=771).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=94).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.6pp; 95% confidence interval +0.8pp to +10.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.