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Bottle-Cap Blast

· Instant · Fallout (PIP)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

145

Decks Running

In Decks

544

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

34 instances

2.9%

Library

67.6%

Graveyard

14.7%

Exile

14.7%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Dr. Madison Li 14 decks
2 Magda, Brazen Outlaw 13 decks
3 Smaug the Magnificent 13 decks
4 Jaws, Relentless Predator 5 decks
5 Knuckles the Echidna 4 decks
6 Vihaan, Goldwaker 4 decks
7 Liberty Prime, Recharged 3 decks
8 Fire Lord Azula 2 decks
9 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 2 decks
10 Magda, the Hoardmaster 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

145 brought · 85 players

Brought to game

145

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -12.1pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=17) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=92).

Observed gap +6.9pp; 95% confidence interval -12.1pp to +25.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=21

24%

14%

29%

T6-9

29%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 10 · max 14

On curve 43% (3 / 21 cast on T5)

21 of 100 times cast 21%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.