Live Play Data

Braids, Arisen Nightmare

· Legendary Creature — Nightmare · Edge of Eternities Commander (EOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1212

Decks Running

617

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

66%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=193

11%

14%

15%

49%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 15% (22 / 193 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

1217 brought · 525 players

Brought to game

1217

Ever drawn

294

Reached battlefield

193

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 40% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.1pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=178) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=744).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 17% (n=93).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.7pp; 95% confidence interval -4.1pp to +9.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

346 instances

2.6%

Library

23.7%

Battlefield

40.5%

Graveyard

8.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Hearthhull, the Worldseed 81 decks
2 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 43 decks
3 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 39 decks
4 Terra, Herald of Hope 18 decks
5 Ygra, Eater of All 16 decks
6 Tergrid, God of Fright // Tergrid's Lantern 13 decks
7 Vren, the Relentless 13 decks
8 Korvold, Fae-Cursed King 11 decks
9 Teysa Karlov 11 decks
10 Lynde, Cheerful Tormentor 10 decks

Card text

Braids, Arisen Nightmare

Legendary Creature — Nightmare

At the beginning of your end step, you may sacrifice an artifact, creature, enchantment, land, or planeswalker. If you do, each opponent may sacrifice a permanent of their choice that shares a card type with it. For each opponent who doesn't, that player loses 2 life and you draw a card.

3 / 3

Edge of Eternities Commander (EOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Heonhwa

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.