Live Play Data

Braids, Arisen Nightmare

· Legendary Creature — Nightmare · Edge of Eternities Commander (EOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2430

Decks Running

1166

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

65%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=410

12%

14%

46%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 17% (51 / 410 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

2432 brought · 972 players

Brought to game

2432

Ever drawn

592

Reached battlefield

384

Still on board at game end

163

Once cast, 42% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.3pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=348) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=1513).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=190).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.6pp; 95% confidence interval -0.3pp to +9.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

664 instances

3.2%

Library

24.5%

Battlefield

39.0%

Graveyard

8.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Hearthhull, the Worldseed 149 decks
2 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 98 decks
3 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 83 decks
4 Terra, Herald of Hope 41 decks
5 Tergrid, God of Fright // Tergrid's Lantern 28 decks
6 Vren, the Relentless 27 decks
7 Ygra, Eater of All 26 decks
8 Szarel, Genesis Shepherd 25 decks
9 Teysa Karlov 25 decks
10 Meren of Clan Nel Toth 22 decks

Card text

Braids, Arisen Nightmare

Legendary Creature — Nightmare

At the beginning of your end step, you may sacrifice an artifact, creature, enchantment, land, or planeswalker. If you do, each opponent may sacrifice a permanent of their choice that shares a card type with it. For each opponent who doesn't, that player loses 2 life and you draw a card.

3 / 3

Edge of Eternities Commander (EOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Heonhwa

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.