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Braids, Arisen Nightmare

· Legendary Creature — Nightmare · Edge of Eternities Commander (EOC)

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Times Brought

663

Decks Running

351

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

141 instances

35.5%

Battlefield

32.6%

Graveyard

4.3%

Exile

27.0%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Hearthhull, the Worldseed 45 decks
2 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 33 decks
3 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 24 decks
4 Szarel, Genesis Shepherd 13 decks
5 Tergrid, God of Fright // Tergrid's Lantern 10 decks
6 The Necrobloom 9 decks
7 Vren, the Relentless 8 decks
8 Korvold, Fae-Cursed King 7 decks
9 Terra, Herald of Hope 7 decks
10 Chatterfang, Squirrel General 6 decks

The "good card" funnel

663 brought · 317 players

Brought to game

663

Ever drawn

130

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.4pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=73) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=401).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=36) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -2.2pp; 95% confidence interval -8.4pp to +4.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=89

15%

16%

42%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 16

On curve 21% (13 / 89 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

89 of 100 times cast 89%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.