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Part of Modern Horizons 3
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Bridgeworks Battle // Tanglespan Bridgeworks
Sorcery // Land
·
Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
219
Decks Running
134
In Decks
1192
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Final zone distribution
58 instances1.7%
Library
25.9%
Battlefield
37.9%
Graveyard
10.3%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid
4 decks
-
2
Maarika, Brutal Gladiator
4 decks
-
3
Wolverine, Best There Is
4 decks
-
4
Aragorn, the Uniter
3 decks
-
5
Blech, Loafing Pest
3 decks
-
6
Raggadragga, Goreguts Boss
3 decks
-
7
Shelob, Child of Ungoliant
3 decks
-
8
Wulfgar of Icewind Dale
3 decks
-
9
Aloy, Savior of Meridian
2 decks
-
10
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
219 brought · 114 playersBrought to game
219
Ever drawn
52
Reached battlefield
33
Still on board at game end
15
Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -5.7pp
Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=33) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=158).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=19) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +10.0pp; 95% confidence interval -5.7pp to +25.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=33
6%
T1
6%
T2
6%
T3
15%
T4
12%
T5
48%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median
6
P25
4
· P75
7
· max
10
On curve
18%
(2 / 33 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
41%
33 of 100 times cast
33%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.