Bristly Bill, Spine Sower
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Bristly Bill, Spine Sower
Final zone distribution
254 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Tifa Lockhart
41 decks
-
2
Toph, the First Metalbender
41 decks
-
3
Tidus, Yuna's Guardian
26 decks
-
4
Minsc & Boo, Timeless Heroes
14 decks
-
5
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
13 decks
-
6
Shalai and Hallar
12 decks
-
7
Wolverine, Best There Is
11 decks
-
8
Toph, Earthbending Master
10 decks
-
9
Beorn the Fierce
9 decks
-
10
Bumi, Unleashed
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
1291 brought · 496 playersOnce cast, 73% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=165) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=762).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 17% (n=26).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.7pp; 95% confidence interval -1.4pp to +6.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.