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Carnelian Orb of Dragonkind card art
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Carnelian Orb of Dragonkind

{2} {R} · Artifact · Foundations (FDN)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
214
Decks Running
95
In Decks
876
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

59 instances
6.8%
Library
57.6%
Battlefield
18.6%
Graveyard
5.1%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

214 brought · 94 players
Brought to game
214
Ever drawn
53
Reached battlefield
40
Still on board at game end
34

Once cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -18.9pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=36) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=143).

Observed gap -3.6pp; 95% confidence interval -18.9pp to +11.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=40
3%
T1
13%
T2
23%
T3
10%
T4
18%
T5
25%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 15
On curve 38% (9 / 40 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 50%
40 of 100 times cast 40%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.