Carnelian Orb of Dragonkind
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Carnelian Orb of Dragonkind
Final zone distribution
166 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
165 decks
-
2
Ureni of the Unwritten
39 decks
-
3
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
38 decks
-
4
The Ur-Dragon
32 decks
-
5
Tiamat
17 decks
-
6
Rivaz of the Claw
14 decks
-
7
Atarka, World Render
9 decks
-
8
Ganax, Astral Hunter
6 decks
-
9
Smaug the Magnificent
5 decks
-
10
Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
776 brought · 352 playersOnce cast, 87% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=91) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=423).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 18% (n=28).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -4.0pp to +7.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.