Live Play Data

Caustic Bronco

· Creature — Snake Horse Mount · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

209

Decks Running

104

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=38

16%

13%

11%

34%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 29% (5 / 38 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 61%

The "good card" funnel

209 brought · 104 players

Brought to game

209

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 34% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -14.9pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=35) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=121).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 45% (n=19).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +1.0pp; 95% confidence interval -14.9pp to +16.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

71 instances

4.2%

Library

18.3%

Battlefield

43.7%

Graveyard

5.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Caustic Bronco

Creature — Snake Horse Mount

Whenever this creature attacks, reveal the top card of your library and put it into your hand. You lose life equal to that card's mana value if this creature isn't saddled. Otherwise, each opponent loses that much life. Saddle 3 (Tap any number of other creatures you control with total power 3 or more: This Mount becomes saddled until end of turn. Saddle only as a sorcery.)

2 / 2

Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ) · Rare · Illustrated by Brent Hollowell

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.