Cavern-Hoard Dragon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
Final zone distribution
292 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
107 decks
-
2
Sauron, the Dark Lord
70 decks
-
3
Smaug the Magnificent
46 decks
-
4
The Ur-Dragon
44 decks
-
5
Smaug the Impenetrable
38 decks
-
6
Sonic the Hedgehog
20 decks
-
7
Smaug, Wicked Worm
19 decks
-
8
Ureni of the Unwritten
16 decks
-
9
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
15 decks
-
10
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
14 decks
The "good card" funnel
1502 brought · 541 playersOnce cast, 76% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=112) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=911).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=89).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.8pp; 95% confidence interval +3.1pp to +12.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.