Cavern-Hoard Dragon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
Final zone distribution
94 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
47 decks
-
2
Sauron, the Dark Lord
22 decks
-
3
Smaug the Impenetrable
15 decks
-
4
Smaug the Magnificent
15 decks
-
5
The Ur-Dragon
12 decks
-
6
Ureni of the Unwritten
10 decks
-
7
Tannuk, Steadfast Second
9 decks
-
8
Sonic the Hedgehog
8 decks
-
9
Smaug, Wicked Worm
7 decks
-
10
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
468 brought · 195 playersOnce cast, 80% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=36) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=277).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=25).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +8.1pp; 95% confidence interval -0.1pp to +16.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.