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Chain of Vapor

· Instant · Commander 2016 (C16)

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Times Brought

435

Decks Running

195

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Chain of Vapor

Instant

Return target nonland permanent to its owner's hand. Then that permanent's controller may sacrifice a land of their choice. If the player does, they may copy this spell and may choose a new target for that copy.

Commander 2016 (C16) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Svetlin Velinov

Final zone distribution

104 instances

4.8%

Library

3.8%

Battlefield

43.3%

Graveyard

19.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vivi Ornitier 21 decks
2 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 16 decks
3 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy 15 decks
4 Urza, Lord High Artificer 11 decks
5 Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow 11 decks
6 Kraum, Ludevic's Opus 10 decks
7 Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy 10 decks
8 Tymna the Weaver 9 decks
9 Najeela, the Blade-Blossom 8 decks
10 Thrasios, Triton Hero 7 decks

The "good card" funnel

435 brought · 184 players

Brought to game

435

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -4.2pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=34) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=225).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=38).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.5pp; 95% confidence interval -4.2pp to +13.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=42

17%

19%

33%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 2% (1 / 42 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 49%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.