Live Play Data

Chandra's Ignition

· Sorcery · The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1115

Decks Running

546

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

51% of games where Chandra's Ignition resolved ended in a win for the caster, a +25.3 percentage-point lift over the baseline, the largest positive signal in our red sorcery dataset.

Chandra's Ignition is a five-mana red sorcery that scales with creature power, and the win-rate data reflects exactly that upside. Across 1051 tracked multiplayer games, decks that resolved it won 51% of the time, compared to 25% for games where the card sat untouched in the library. That +25.3 percentage-point gap is one of the clearest directional signals in our dataset for a non-staple card.

The card sits in 546 of 8485 tracked decks, an inclusion rate of 6%. That puts it firmly in the role of a build-around rather than a generic include: players who put it in their 99 are optimizing around high-power creatures that can weaponize the effect. Median first cast lands on turn 7.0, which lines up with the curve of decks that need a large creature in play before the spell does real work.

59% of drawn copies reached the battlefield before the game ended. The card clusters most heavily around Pantlaza, Sun-Favored, pointing to a Dinosaur-tribal archetype that reliably fields the power needed to make Ignition a board-clear and a finisher in one shot.

At a glance

6% of tracked Commander decks include Chandra's Ignition
51% win rate when cast, against a 25% baseline
+25.3pp win-rate lift over games where the card was never played
T7.0 median first-cast turn
59% of drawn copies were cast before the game ended
486 distinct players have brought Chandra's Ignition to a tracked game

First-cast turn

n=166

13%

64%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 20% (22 / 166 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 34%

The "good card" funnel

1119 brought · 486 players

Brought to game

1119

Ever drawn

282

Reached battlefield

166

Still on board at game end

59%

Of 1119 copies brought to games, 282 were drawn and 166 of those were cast, a funnel that reflects both the singleton lottery and the need to set up a large creature before firing.

≥ +17.2pp

Players who cast this card win 51% of the time (n=153) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=721).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=99) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +25.3pp; 95% confidence interval +17.2pp to +33.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

313 instances

1.6%

Library

11.8%

Battlefield

44.4%

Graveyard

9.3%

Exile

Almost all Chandra's Ignitions end the game in the graveyard after resolving, as expected for a sorcery. The small handful on the battlefield are tokens or copy effects, not the original card staying in play.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 63 decks
2 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 18 decks
3 Vivi Ornitier 17 decks
4 Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid 16 decks
5 Sauron, the Dark Lord 16 decks
6 Wolverine, Best There Is 16 decks
7 Zndrsplt, Eye of Wisdom 15 decks
8 Lightning, Army of One 11 decks
9 Clive, Ifrit's Dominant // Ifrit, Warden of Inferno 10 decks
10 Feather, the Redeemed 10 decks

Pantlaza, Sun-Favored dominates the top-commander list by a wide margin, reflecting how naturally high-power Dinosaur bodies enable a one-sided wipe. The remaining commanders are spread across creature-centric red strategies.

Card text

Chandra's Ignition

Sorcery

Target creature you control deals damage equal to its power to each other creature and each opponent.

The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

How often is Chandra's Ignition drawn in a Commander game?

In 1051 tracked multiplayer games where Chandra's Ignition was in the deck, it was drawn 25% of the time. That draw rate is typical for a singleton in a 100-card deck. Of 282 copies that reached a player's hand, 59% were cast before the game ended. The remainder reflects games that concluded before the player could deploy a large enough creature or find the mana.

What does the win-rate lift actually mean?

Decks that resolved Chandra's Ignition won 51% of those games. Decks where the card never moved from the library won 25% of those games. The +25.3 percentage-point gap is a directional signal that casting the card correlates with winning. The sample has 153 cast observations and 721 library observations. The lower-bound confidence interval stays positive, which makes this one of the stronger directional effects in our red sorcery data, though the dataset is still growing.

What turn does Chandra's Ignition usually get cast?

Median first-cast turn is 7.0, with the distribution concentrated between turns 5 and 9. The card has a mana value of 5 and an on-curve rate of 20%, meaning most casts land after the earliest possible turn. That is largely a function of the card being drawn mid-game rather than opened in hand, and of players waiting for a suitably powerful creature before pulling the trigger.

Which commanders run Chandra's Ignition most often?

Pantlaza, Sun-Favored leads the tracked dataset by a wide margin, which makes sense: Dinosaurs naturally scale to large power values, turning Ignition into a one-sided board wipe that also kills opponents directly. Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls and Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid round out the top three in the multiplayer data, both creature-centric strategies that need efficient ways to push through damage.

Is Chandra's Ignition legal in Commander?

Yes. Chandra's Ignition is legal in Commander, Duel Commander, Legacy, Modern, Pioneer, Vintage, Historic, Timeless, and Oathbreaker. It is not legal in Standard, Pauper, or Pauper Commander. Its mono-red color identity means it can fit into any Commander deck with red in the color identity.

How concentrated is the data across players?

486 distinct players have brought Chandra's Ignition to a tracked game, and the single heaviest contributor accounts for 25% of all instances. That spread is healthy: the win-rate signal is not being driven by a single prolific player's results, which adds confidence to the directional findings even on a dataset of this size.