Live Play Data

Chandra's Incinerator

· Creature — Elemental · Core Set 2021 (M21)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

664

Decks Running

301

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

60%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=103

12%

19%

51%

T6-9

12%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 61% (25 / 103 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

664 brought · 273 players

Brought to game

664

Ever drawn

172

Reached battlefield

103

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +6.2pp

Players who cast this card win 42% of the time (n=100) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=430).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=62).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +16.4pp; 95% confidence interval +6.2pp to +26.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

184 instances

3.8%

Library

27.7%

Battlefield

29.9%

Graveyard

8.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 40 decks
2 Eshki, Temur's Roar 30 decks
3 Ingris Stingerquill 26 decks
4 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power 23 decks
5 Ragost, Deft Gastronaut 22 decks
6 Torbran, Thane of Red Fell 12 decks
7 Norin the Wary 10 decks
8 Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh // Chandra, Roaring Flame 8 decks
9 Solphim, Mayhem Dominus 8 decks
10 Taii Wakeen, Perfect Shot 8 decks

Card text

Chandra's Incinerator

Creature — Elemental

This spell costs {X}

less to cast, where X is the total amount of noncombat damage dealt to your opponents this turn. Trample Whenever a source you control deals noncombat damage to an opponent, this creature deals that much damage to target creature or planeswalker that player controls.

6 / 6

Core Set 2021 (M21) · Rare · Illustrated by Craig J Spearing

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.