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Chandra's Incinerator

· Creature — Elemental · Core Set 2021 (M21)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

195

Decks Running

113

In Decks

721

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Chandra's Incinerator

Creature — Elemental

This spell costs {X}

less to cast, where X is the total amount of noncombat damage dealt to your opponents this turn. Trample Whenever a source you control deals noncombat damage to an opponent, this creature deals that much damage to target creature or planeswalker that player controls.

6 / 6

Core Set 2021 (M21) · Rare · Illustrated by Craig J Spearing

Final zone distribution

51 instances

5.9%

Library

27.5%

Battlefield

29.4%

Graveyard

11.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 23 decks
2 Eshki, Temur's Roar 13 decks
3 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power 8 decks
4 Ragost, Deft Gastronaut 8 decks
5 Chandra, Fire of Kaladesh // Chandra, Roaring Flame 5 decks
6 Daredevil, Fearless Fighter 3 decks
7 Norin the Wary 3 decks
8 Purphoros, God of the Forge 3 decks
9 Torbran, Thane of Red Fell 3 decks
10 Zo-Zu the Punisher 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

195 brought · 108 players

Brought to game

195

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -3.8pp

Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=28) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=126).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 9% (n=16) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +14.8pp; 95% confidence interval -3.8pp to +33.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=28

18%

39%

T6-9

18%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 64% (6 / 28 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

28 of 100 times cast 28%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.