Chandra's Incinerator
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Chandra's Incinerator
Final zone distribution
55 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
20 decks
-
2
Eshki, Temur's Roar
15 decks
-
3
Torbran, Thane of Red Fell
13 decks
-
4
Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power
11 decks
-
5
Ragost, Deft Gastronaut
8 decks
-
6
Ingris Stingerquill
7 decks
-
7
Daredevil, Fearless Fighter
5 decks
-
8
Norin the Wary
5 decks
-
9
Solphim, Mayhem Dominus
5 decks
-
10
The Howling Abomination
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
331 brought · 148 playersOnce cast, 68% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=28) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=221).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=23).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.4pp; 95% confidence interval -2.0pp to +16.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.