Live Play Data

Chthonian Nightmare

· Enchantment · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

331

Decks Running

175

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

52%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=39

10%

15%

54%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 10% (2 / 39 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 34%

The "good card" funnel

331 brought · 157 players

Brought to game

331

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 46% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -7.5pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=30) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=205).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 50% (n=29).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.6pp; 95% confidence interval -7.5pp to +26.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

90 instances

3.3%

Library

20.0%

Battlefield

21.1%

Graveyard

4.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 17 decks
2 Uugguu, the Omniplasm 10 decks
3 Teval, the Balanced Scale 7 decks
4 Teysa Karlov 7 decks
5 Blech, Loafing Pest 4 decks
6 Caesar, Legion's Emperor 4 decks
7 Meren of Clan Nel Toth 4 decks
8 Rakdos, the Muscle 4 decks
9 The Great Goblin 4 decks
10 The Necrobloom 4 decks

Card text

Chthonian Nightmare

Enchantment

When this enchantment enters, you get {E}

(three energy counters). Pay X {E}

, Sacrifice a creature, Return this enchantment to its owner's hand: Return target creature card with mana value X from your graveyard to the battlefield. Activate only as a sorcery.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Rare · Illustrated by Josu Solano

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.