Live Play Data

Commercial District

Land — Mountain Forest · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1248

Decks Running

584

Median Cast Turn

3.0

Drawn → Played

82%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=376

34%

14%

11%

10%

20%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3.0 P25 1 · P75 5 · max 14

Cast same turn as drawn 72%

The "good card" funnel

1249 brought · 508 players

Brought to game

1249

Ever drawn

460

Reached battlefield

376

Still on board at game end

345

Once cast, 92% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.3pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=344) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=622).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 39% (n=75).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +1.2pp; 95% confidence interval -4.3pp to +6.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

494 instances

3.4%

Library

69.8%

Battlefield

11.7%

Graveyard

4.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Flubs, the Fool 31 decks
2 Bello, Bard of the Brambles 26 decks
3 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 22 decks
4 Hearthhull, the Worldseed 22 decks
5 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 20 decks
6 Toph, the First Metalbender 15 decks
7 Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers 14 decks
8 The Beamtown Bullies 13 decks
9 Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER 11 decks
10 Henzie "Toolbox" Torre 11 decks

Card text

Commercial District

Land — Mountain Forest

(

: Add

.) This land enters tapped. When this land enters, surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.)

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Julian Kok Joon Wen

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.