Commercial District
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Commercial District
Final zone distribution
335 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
34 decks
-
2
Bello, Bard of the Brambles
25 decks
-
3
Flubs, the Fool
22 decks
-
4
Pantlaza, Sun-Favored
15 decks
-
5
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
13 decks
-
6
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
13 decks
-
7
Wolverine, Best There Is
11 decks
-
8
Toph, the First Metalbender
10 decks
-
9
Aerid Konstrari
9 decks
-
10
Baylen, the Haymaker
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
994 brought · 412 playersOnce cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=228) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=497).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=33).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.8pp; 95% confidence interval -4.7pp to +3.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.