bolt Game Changer on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
Consecrated Sphinx card art
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Consecrated Sphinx

{4} {U} {U} · Creature — Sphinx · Double Masters 2022 (2X2)
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
381
Decks Running
204
In Decks
1571
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format

Final zone distribution

127 instances
3.1%
Library
38.6%
Battlefield
17.3%
Graveyard
12.6%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

381 brought · 174 players
Brought to game
381
Ever drawn
112
Reached battlefield
66
Still on board at game end
49

Once cast, 74% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +17.5pp

Players who cast this card win 52% of the time (n=64) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=226).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=46) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +29.5pp; 95% confidence interval +17.5pp to +41.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=66
0%
T1
2%
T2
6%
T3
21%
T4
14%
T5
44%
T6-9
14%
T10+
Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 19
On curve 53% (7 / 66 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 21%
66 of 100 times cast 66%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.