bolt Game Changer on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
Consecrated Sphinx card art
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Consecrated Sphinx

{4} {U} {U} · Creature — Sphinx · Double Masters 2022 (2X2)
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
225
Decks Running
126
In Decks
1260
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format

Final zone distribution

75 instances
5.3%
Library
36.0%
Battlefield
17.3%
Graveyard
9.3%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

225 brought · 109 players
Brought to game
225
Ever drawn
66
Reached battlefield
35
Still on board at game end
27

Once cast, 77% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +8.2pp

Players who cast this card win 45% of the time (n=35) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=136).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=31) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +24.1pp; 95% confidence interval +8.2pp to +39.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=35
0%
T1
0%
T2
6%
T3
26%
T4
14%
T5
37%
T6-9
17%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 19
On curve 54% (3 / 35 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 21%
35 of 100 times cast 35%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.