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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
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Creature — Goblin Bard
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Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
Live Play Data
Crime Novelist
2%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
983
Decks Running
491
Median Cast Turn
5
Drawn → Played
69%
Format
First-cast turn
n=139
0%
T1
5%
T2
12%
T3
18%
T4
16%
T5
43%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median
5
P25
4
· P75
7
· max
25
On curve
17%
(17 / 139 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
29%
The "good card" funnel
985 brought · 456 playersBrought to game
985
Ever drawn
202
Reached battlefield
139
Still on board at game end
79
Once cast, 57% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -4.6pp
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=126) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=660).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=56).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.5pp; 95% confidence interval -4.6pp to +11.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
222 instances4.5%
Library
35.6%
Battlefield
33.3%
Graveyard
9.0%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Mr. House, President and CEO
68 decks
-
2
Smaug the Impenetrable
52 decks
-
3
Jaws, Relentless Predator
47 decks
-
4
Ragost, Deft Gastronaut
42 decks
-
5
Kibo, Uktabi Prince
24 decks
-
6
Smaug the Magnificent
23 decks
-
7
Prosper, Tome-Bound
16 decks
-
8
Smaug, Wicked Worm
14 decks
-
9
Vihaan, Goldwaker
14 decks
-
10
Evereth, Viceroy of Plunder
12 decks
Card text
Crime Novelist
Creature — Goblin Bard
Whenever you sacrifice an artifact, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature and add
.
1 / 3
Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
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Uncommon
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Illustrated by Izzy
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.