Live Play Data

Crime Novelist

· Creature — Goblin Bard · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

1332

Decks Running

603

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=196

10%

20%

41%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 25

On curve 14% (19 / 196 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

1334 brought · 553 players

Brought to game

1334

Ever drawn

277

Reached battlefield

196

Still on board at game end

113

Once cast, 58% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.2pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=178) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=894).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=72).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.5pp; 95% confidence interval -4.2pp to +9.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

307 instances

3.6%

Library

36.8%

Battlefield

33.6%

Graveyard

8.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Crime Novelist

Creature — Goblin Bard

Whenever you sacrifice an artifact, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature and add {R}

1 / 3

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Izzy

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.