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Live Play Data

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{1} {U} · Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
1%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
163
Decks Running
77
Median Cast Turn
6.0
Drawn → Played
81%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=48
2%
T1
10%
T2
6%
T3
10%
T4
15%
T5
46%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 16
On curve 13% (5 / 48 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

163 brought · 75 players
Brought to game
163
Ever drawn
59
Reached battlefield
48
Still on board at game end
3
≥ +1.4pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=44) , vs 17% when it never left the library (n=83).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +16.4pp; 95% confidence interval +1.4pp to +31.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

64 instances
7.8%
Library
4.7%
Battlefield
57.8%
Graveyard
17.2%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
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{1} {U}
Instant
Surveil 2. (Look at the top two cards of your library, then put any number of them into your graveyard and the rest on top of your library in any order.) Draw a card.
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Common · Illustrated by Ryan Valle

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.