format_list_numbered #2 black counterspell
Dash Hopes card art
Live Play Data

Dash Hopes

{B} {B} · Instant · Planar Chaos (PLC)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
172
Decks Running
74
Median Cast Turn
—
Drawn → Played
52%
Format

First-cast turn

n=17

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

172 brought · 65 players
Brought to game
172
Ever drawn
33
Reached battlefield
17
Still on board at game end
1
≥ -18.8pp

Players who cast this card win 17% of the time (n=16) , vs 17% when it never left the library (n=120).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.6pp; 95% confidence interval -18.8pp to +20.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

41 instances
2.4%
Battlefield
53.7%
Graveyard
12.2%
Exile
31.7%
Hand
Card text
Dash Hopes card

Dash Hopes

{B} {B}
Instant
When you cast this spell, any player may pay 5 life. If a player does, counter Dash Hopes. Counter target spell.
Planar Chaos (PLC) · Common · Illustrated by Zoltan Boros & Gabor Szikszai

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 770,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.