Live Play Data

Deceptive Frostkite

· Creature — Dragon · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

334

Decks Running

146

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

65%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=66

11%

59%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 2% (1 / 66 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

334 brought · 141 players

Brought to game

334

Ever drawn

101

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 53% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.9pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=62) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=205).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.7pp; 95% confidence interval +0.9pp to +26.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

105 instances

5.7%

Library

33.3%

Battlefield

28.6%

Graveyard

5.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ureni of the Unwritten 77 decks
2 Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm 18 decks
3 Eshki, Temur's Roar 13 decks
4 The Ur-Dragon 6 decks
5 Gyruda, Doom of Depths 3 decks
6 Tiamat 3 decks
7 Zurgo and Ojutai 3 decks
8 Ganax, Astral Hunter 2 decks
9 Hidetsugu and Kairi 2 decks
10 Keiga, the Tide Star 2 decks

Card text

Deceptive Frostkite

Creature — Dragon

Flying You may have this creature enter as a copy of a creature you control with power 4 or greater, except it's a Dragon in addition to its other types and it has flying.

1 / 1

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Josu Solano

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.