Deceptive Frostkite
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Deceptive Frostkite
Final zone distribution
100 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ureni of the Unwritten
72 decks
-
2
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
28 decks
-
3
The Ur-Dragon
17 decks
-
4
Eshki, Temur's Roar
16 decks
-
5
Tiamat
3 decks
-
6
Uldaros Theorix
3 decks
-
7
Be'lakor, the Dark Master
2 decks
-
8
Ganax, Astral Hunter
2 decks
-
9
Renari, Merchant of Marvels
2 decks
-
10
Satoru Umezawa
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
375 brought · 144 playersOnce cast, 43% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=48) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=209).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=26).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.1pp; 95% confidence interval -0.1pp to +14.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.